The Polling in Andhra Pradesh is yet to conclude even after 6 PM. People in the queues will given a chance to vote until the last vote is cast.
In 2019, polling happened until 9 PM in 726 centers, until 10 PM in 256 centers, until 11 PM in 70 centers, and until 12 Midnight in 23 centers. So, the night is going to be long and the Election Commission is likely to reveal the final voter turnout only on Tuesday.
The final number we have for today is 68.04% by 5 PM. The one hour polling, the people in the queues, and the postal ballots may push the number up to around 85%.
In 2019, the final voter turnout is 80.37%.
Usually, the higher voter turnout indicates anti-incumbency.
Lower than 80% does not mean it is pro-incumbency because 2019 was a wave election and YSR Congress peaked then. So, Psephologists say anything above 75% is danger bells for YSR Congress and so, if the turnout is 85%, there would be some serious trouble.
Election Commissioner Mukesh Kumar Meena in a Pressmeet said he is hopeful that the voting percentage has increased.
YSR Congress pinned high hopes on the Rural Areas especially on women, SC, ST, and Minority voters.
SC, ST, Minority voters are always with YSR Congress.
They might be over-banking on Women and Rural Vote because the voters in the rural area are divided by various factors like Caste, Party affiliations, the negativity on the MLAs, etc. Janasena alliance factor will also help in many areas. So, unanimous vote is very unlikely.
At the same time, the divide in Urban Vote is less likely because anti-incumbency, lack of infra, no jobs are the dominating issues with no dividing factors.
Aara Mastan, a Psephologist who gave an edge to YSR Congress shifted goalpost a bit and is playing safe now.
Even Mastan says the alliance got 70-75% of the Postal Ballot Votes.
Considering all this factors, the alliance may stand a good chance here.
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