While the average of exit polls correctly predicted a hung Assembly in 2013, they predicted much closer contests in 2015 and 2020, two elections in which the AAP nearly swept Delhi’s 70 Assembly seats. (Express photo by Tashi Tobgyal)
Delhi Election Exit Poll Results 2025 LIVE Updates: AAP continued to exude confidence after exit polls predicted a resounding victory for BJP in the Delhi assembly elections, the voting for which took place on February 5. According to majority of the exit polls for the Delhi Assembly Election 2025, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to make a comeback in the national capital after 27 years, while the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is not expected to go past 30 seats. Meanwhile, pollsters predicted that the Congress party will fail to make an impact in Delhi with their seat tally unlikely to go past 3.
Here’s what the Exit Polls are saying this year:
Scuffle breaks out between aap-bjp in sangam vihar: A late-night scuffle broke out between AAP and BJP workers in the Sangam Vihar area of Delhi. Both the parties claimed that their workers got injured in the scuffle, alleging an unprovoked attack. However, Delhi Police said that they have received no complaint from either side yet.
How accurate were previous exit polls? Exit polls have shown varying degrees of accuracy in Delhi’s elections since the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) emerged in 2013. In 2013, while they correctly predicted a hung Assembly, they significantly underestimated AAP’s strength. In 2015 and 2020, exit polls anticipated AAP victories but failed to gauge the extent of their success, consistently underestimating their seat counts. For instance, in 2015, polls averaged 45 seats for AAP, while the actual count was 67. However, by 2020, predictions improved, with polls closely aligning with AAP’s eventual 62-seat win, indicating a gradual enhancement in polling accuracy over the years.
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