Home CINEMA War 2 Breakeven Target: Too High to Hit?

War 2 Breakeven Target: Too High to Hit?

War 2 Breakeven Target: Too High to Hit?

War 2 Breakeven Target: Too High to Hit?

War 2, the much-anticipated sequel in Yash Raj Films’ spy universe, is making waves not just for its star-studded cast but also for its jaw dropping budget.

With an estimated cost of Rs. 440 to 450 crores (including promotions), Hrithik Roshan and Jr. NTR starrer has now become YRF’s most expensive production ever, eclipsing even Pathaan and Tiger 3.

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To compare, Pathaan was reportedly made for around Rs. 300 crores, while Tiger 3 came in at Rs. 350 crores. That makes War 2 a significantly costlier gamble, and industry insiders are asking the obvious question — can it recover its investment?

There is certainly buzz, thanks to Hrithik Roshan reprising his role as Kabir and Jr. NTR making his much-awaited Bollywood debut. But the film now faces enormous pressure to perform.

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Trade estimates suggest it must earn at least Rs. 350 crores net in India just to be a hit. To be declared a super hit, it will need to cross Rs. 400 crores net. For blockbuster status, the number jumps to Rs. 450 crore or more — a tall order in today’s unpredictable box office landscape.

That means WAR 2 needs to collect a worldwide gross of minimum 600 crores to be declared a hit and 800 crores ww gross to be a blockbuster.

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That is where concerns are creeping in. The trailer, while stylish, has not offered much novelty — and many feel the spy thriller formula is beginning to wear thin. Audience fatigue, especially with over polished action flicks lacking depth, is a real risk.

While War 2 will gain from lucrative OTT and satellite deals, and is expected to perform well in overseas markets, those alone will not be enough to cover the massive production cost. Unless Indian theatrical numbers soar, the margins will remain slim.

Directed by Ayan Mukerji (of Brahmastra fame), War 2 is undeniably ambitious. But ambition comes with high stakes — and this film is now on a tightrope.

With its release slated for August 14, 2025, the film does benefit from an extended Independence Day weekend.

That holiday window could give it a strong opening, but sustaining momentum will depend entirely on word of mouth and content strength.

Akhil, a passionate young writer, started his journey at M9 News and has since become a key member of the team. With a deep love for Telugu cinema, Hyderabad city news, and a keen interest in general affairs, Akhil bring…

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